Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
8º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 3
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
DKQ
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AMI
3 - 0
MON
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
31%
21%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
SRA
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 4
CAE
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
CAE
89%
8%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DKQ
0 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |