Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
4º
33
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
AMI
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
MON
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
DKQ
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PSG
6 - 0
CAE
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
SRA
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
44%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 0
CAE
30%
23%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |