Montevideo Wanderers vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1975 |
MWA
4 - 0
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MWA
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
1 - 0
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
3 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 2
CCP
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |