Montevideo Wanderers vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 0
MWA
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 3
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 1
BOS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 0
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
SUD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
DAN
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |