Montevideo Wanderers vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
MWA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MWA
5 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
MWA
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 0
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 3
SUD
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 1
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 0
FEN
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |