Montevideo Wanderers vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
2º
10
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 3
FEN
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
DYJ
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 1
PEÑ
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |