Montevideo Wanderers vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 2
MWA
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
TOR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
MWA
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
LFC
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 2
BOS
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FEN
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 3
PEÑ
24%
29%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |