Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-4
Montevideo Wanderers vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 2
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
DEF
3 - 1
MWA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
MWA
0 - 2
BOC
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 1
RAC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 2
PEÑ
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
PLA
2 - 0
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 2
PEÑ
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
TAC
1 - 3
PEÑ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 3
PEÑ
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |