Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
3º
8
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 13 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 11 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 10 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 9 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 8 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 5 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 2 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 2 |
15º
|
50% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
4 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
LFC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 3
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |