Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 2
RIV
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MWA
7 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2010 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSC
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |