Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
4 - 2
MWA
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
3 - 2
MWA
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
86%
9%
6%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
2 - 0
BOC
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
0 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1988 |
CRZ
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 2
CRZ
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1988 |
FLA
0 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 0
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1984 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |