Montevideo Wanderers vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 0
MWA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
MWA
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 2
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
MWA
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
FEN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
FEN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |