Montevideo Wanderers vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 0
LFC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
CER
2 - 1
MWA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 3
MWA
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
CER
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LFC
3 - 1
FEN
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 0
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 3
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |