Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 1
MWA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MWA
4 - 2
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
MWA
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 1
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REN
6 - 5
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
ETS
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |