Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 3
BOS
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 4
MWA
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 1
MWA
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JUN
2 - 0
CER
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CER
3 - 1
UTC
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CER
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |