Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MWA
5 - 0
ETS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 1
MWA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LFC
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
CSM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |