Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 3
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
CEL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
JUN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 3
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATE
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |