Montevideo Wanderers vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
3 - 1
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
93%
5%
3%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1983 |
MWA
0 - 0
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
OLI
2 - 3
MWA
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 1
RAC
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
PLA
4 - 4
RIV
30%
29%
42%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BOC
0 - 2
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |