Montevideo Wanderers vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 8
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
MWA
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
PEÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 3
MWA
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOL
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPE
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 0
BOL
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
0 - 0
REA
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 3
BOL
10%
16%
73%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |