Montevarchi Calcio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MON
0 - 0
PIS
17%
26%
57%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
USC
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACL
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
LIV
0 - 1
SIE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SIE
0 - 2
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 2
SIE
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
SIE
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |