Montevarchi Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
SIE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PON
3 - 0
MON
41%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
PES
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MOD
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 4
MOD
22%
29%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 0
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |