Montevarchi Calcio vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
TUT
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
USR
0 - 2
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MPO
2 - 0
GAV
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GHI
2 - 2
MPO
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MPO
2 - 0
MAS
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 1
MPO
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MPO
0 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |