Montevarchi Calcio vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CTT
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 1
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 3
LIV
18%
24%
57%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |