Montevarchi Calcio vs GSD Ghiviborgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+541%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
16º
9º
6
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
GRO
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
GSD Ghiviborgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GGV
2 - 0
SDT
12%
17%
71%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OST
4 - 0
GGV
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | -1 |