Montevarchi Calcio vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MON
2 - 2
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
10%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 3
SIE
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 2
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |