Montevarchi Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 2
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
REG
3 - 2
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPA
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |