Montevarchi Calcio vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
LIV
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CTT
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 0
ABN
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ACL
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |