Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MON
27%
27%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
AUS
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
COR
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 2
HOD
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
KCW
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
CFS
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |