Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 3
SNL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
EST
3 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |