Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 3-6
Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
EST
0 - 3
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |