Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
MON
1 - 2
PUM
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
MON
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
MON
2 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 1
AUR
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 4
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 3
TOL
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 0
NEC
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |