Monterrey vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
PAC
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
TIG
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TIJ
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
PAC
4 - 0
TIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LEO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |