Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Monterrey vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TIG
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 6
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 2
CAZ
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
TIJ
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |