CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 2-1
Monterrey vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
NEC
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VER
0 - 1
MON
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
MON
4 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
KCW
2 - 5
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
TIG
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
TIG
3 - 3
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LOB
0 - 3
TIG
16%
25%
60%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
TIG
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |