CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 3-2
Monterrey vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 0
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 2
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |