Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 5-3
Monterrey vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 2
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
PUM
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MON
3 - 3
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 2
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 3
AME
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JAG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |