Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MON
3 - 3
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |