Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
RSL
0 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
RSL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUM
0 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUM
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUM
3 - 0
QRO
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
38%
27%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
TIG
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |