Monterrey vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
RSL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
3 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
AME
5 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |