Monterrey vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AME
1 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 4
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
EST
3 - 0
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
IND
1 - 0
PUE
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
PUM
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |