Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
4 - 0
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 3
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 2
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 2
PUM
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |