Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
SNL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MON
3 - 2
PAC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
MOR
6 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PUM
4 - 4
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
3 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |