Monterrey vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
BVS
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
ULA
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1998 |
MON
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
OPE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |