Monterrey vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
EST
3 - 4
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPC
64%
22%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |