Monterrey vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SNL
0 - 3
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
JAG
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |