Monterrey vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2005 |
MON
0 - 3
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SNL
2 - 1
MOR
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 4
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |