Monterrey vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
DOR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAC
3 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CIM
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAF
2 - 1
TOR
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PAC
2 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |