Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
TIG
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
CAZ
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
4 - 0
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |