Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SNL
3 - 1
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 3
TIG
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
ATS
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 2
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 3
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PAC
1 - 4
CAZ
44%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |