Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VER
1 - 0
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
SNL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 4
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MON
1 - 2
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 1
NEC
58%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |